Above: Video presenting the findings, trends and methodology for the Cisco Global Cloud Index Forecast, 2012-2017
The Cisco Global Cloud Index is an ongoing effort to forecast the growth of global data center and cloud-based IP traffic. The forecast includes trends associated with data center virtualization and cloud computing. The following presents details of the study, specifically showcasing the parts of the study relating to mobility. Before diving in specifically to the mobility related aspects of the Cisco Global Cloud Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2012-2017 (White Paper), I'd like to share some key highlights.
Global cloud traffic, the fastest growing component of data center traffic, is expected to grow 4.5-fold - a 35 percent combined annual growth rate (CAGR) - from 1.2 zettabytes of annual traffic in 2012 to 5.3 zettabytes by 2017
Overall global data center will grow threefold and reach a total of 7.7 zettabytes annually by 2017
Workload transitions: From 2012-2017, data center workloads will grow 2.3-fold; cloud workdloads will grow 3.7-fold
Global cloud IP traffic will account for more than two-thirds of total data center traffic by 2017.
Cloud traffic growth by region: The Middle East and Africa will ahve the highest cloud traffic growth rate from 2012-2017
Workload growth by region: By 2017, North America will have processed the most cloud workloads, follow by Asia Pacific
Now, onto the mobility highlights from the Cisco Global Cloud Index.
In 2012, North America led in average fixed devices per user, while Central and Eastern Europe led in average mobile devices per user. By 2017, North America is expected to lead both in average fixed devices per user, as well as average mobile devices per user. All the regions continue to show growth in both mobile and fixed average devices per user. Many mobile devices have dual-mode capabilities. This growth, in turn, creates a demand for cloud services and content that can be accessed across multiple devices and using any mode of access—fixed or mobile.
Recent advancements in IPv6 network deployment signify service providers’ focus on IPv6 connectivity on both mobile and fixed networks. This is projected to generate IPv6 traffic growth, potentially reaching 24 percent of global Internet traffic by 2017. (Refer to the Cisco VNI white paper, “The Zettabyte Era,” for more detail.)
The global average mobile download speed is 6.9 Mbps, and the global median mobile download speed is 4.3 Mbps.
The global average mobile upload speed is 3.5 Mbps, and the global median mobile upload speed is 1.2 Mbps
Consumer Average Mobile Download and Upload Speeds
For consumer average mobile download speeds, North America leads with 10 Mbps and Western Europe follows with 8.0 Mbps.
For consumer average mobile upload speeds, North America leads with 8.3 Mbps, and Western Europe follows with 6.1 Mbps (Figure below)
Median consumer mobile speeds are lower than mean consumer mobile speeds within all regions, with the distribution of speeds in the regional population tending to be lower than the average.
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